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Home > VIII Symposium on Horticultural Economics > TECHNIQUES FOR FORECASTING THE PRICES OF HORTICULTURAL CROPS

Articles

TECHNIQUES FOR FORECASTING THE PRICES OF HORTICULTURAL CROPS

Article number

155_27

Pages

155 – 160

Language

Abstract

This paper reports findings from a study of price formation and price forecasting, a relatively new research field for British horticulture.
Various time-series analyses and econometric models based on ordinary least-squares regression were tested and their characteristics are compared.
Different techniques appear best for forecasting particular crops but none is infallible.

Publication

VIII Symposium on Horticultural Economics

Authors

B. White, J.A.H. Nicholson

Keywords

Full text

https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.1984.155.27

Online Articles (79)

2. THE INCORPORATION OF SPAIN INTO THE EEC AND CONSEQUENCES FOR MEDITERRANEAN FRUIT AND VEGETABLE EXPORTS

T. Azcárate

3. COMMUNITY ENLARGEMENT – THE BRITISH GROWERS’ VIEWPOINT

J. Malcolm

4. SPANISH ACCESSION TO THE EEC PROSPECTS FOR TEMPERATE FRUIT AND VEGETABLES

L. Hinton

5. THE RISE OF ALMERIA AND THE FUTURE OF THE GLASS INDUSTRY IN THE SOUTH OF FRANCE

J.M. CODRON

6. CANARIAN AGRICULTURE AND THE E.E.C. ENLARGEMENT

J.A. Sans

7. HORTICULTURAL STRUCTURE OF MURCIA AND THE SPANISH ADHESION TO E.E.C.

M. Zapata | J. Cortina

8. ANALYSIS OF THE COMPETETIVE SITUATION OF SELECTED LOCATIONS OF HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHERN EUROPE

N. Siebels

9. THE COMMON MARKET AND SPANISH CITRUS FRUITS: INTEGRATION AS A PROBLEM

E. Agut

10. ESTIMATING THE PROSPECTIVE EFFECTS OF THE EEC-ENLARGEMENT – CONCEPT AND METHOD

R.v. Alvensleben | H.-Chr. Behr | H.-H. Jahn

11. EFFECT OF THE EEC-ENLARGEMENT ON SELECTED VEGETABLE MARKETS (CUCUMBERS)

H.-H Jahn | R.v. Alvensleben

12. EFFECT OF EEC-ENLARGEMENT ON SELECTED FRUIT MARKETS

H.-Chr. Behr | R.v. Alvensleben

13. STATE INTERVENTION ON THE HORTICULTURAL MARKETS

J. Briz | J. Jimenez | C. Vazquez

14. EFFECT ON PRICES OF PUBLIC INTERVENTION ON THE HORTICULTURAL MARKETS

C. Vazquez

15. WELFARE LOSSES DERIVED FROM PRICE INSTABILITY IN THE SPANISH HORTICULTURAL SECTOR.

L. Vila | J. Alvarez-Coque

16. PRODUCERS GROUPS IN THE COMMERCIALIZATION IN SPAIN OF CITRUS AND HORTI-FRUIT PRODUCTS.

R. Aguirre | L.F. Avellà | R. Diago | C. Ferrís

17. THE SETTING OF AN ELECTRONIC MARKETING SYSTEM FOR FRUIT AND VEGETABLES : PROBLEMS AND CONSEQUENCES

J.C. Montigaud | C. Cibenel

18. DEVELOPMENT OF GREENHOUSE VEGETABLE MARKETING IN THE BASQUE COUNTRY

L.M. Albisu | I. Artorquiza

19. PROGRESS IN HORTICULTURAL MARKETING CO-OPERATION IN THE UK AS A REACTION TO ECONOMIC ADVERSITY

M.J. Sargent

20. MARKETING OF MUSHROOMS

I. H.F.J. Barendse

21. MARKETING STRATEGY FOR APPLES

J. VERTESSEN | U. AVERMAETE

22. A PROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS OF THE EUROPEAN MARKET OF AVOCADOS IN 1990 AS A BASIS FOR PLANNING SPANISH SHORT-TERM SUPPLY

J. Requena

23. ANALYSIS OF SPANISH EXPORTS OF AVOCADOS

M. Barros

24. ANALYSIS OF SPANISH EXPORTS OF EARLY POTATOES

M. Barros

25. TREE NUTS PRODUCTION AND MARKET IN WESTERN EUROPE: THE SPANISH POSITON

J. Tasias

26. SUPPLY RESPONSE IN SWEDISH GREENHOUSE PRODUCTION: THE CASE OF TOMATOES AND CUCUMBERS

L. Ekelund | M. Lundahl

27. CONDITIONS INFLUENCING THE PRICING OF FRUIT AND VEGETABLES

F. Alvisi

28. TECHNIQUES FOR FORECASTING THE PRICES OF HORTICULTURAL CROPS

B. White | J.A.H. Nicholson

29. MEDIUM-TERM FORECASTING OF APPLE PRICES BEFORE SEASON START A MODIFIED APPLICATION OF THE “DELPHI-METHOD”

H. Janssen

30. MARKETING MARGINS FOR FRUIT AND VEGETABLES IN GERMANY (F.R.) – SEASONAL ASPECTS OF MARGIN BEHAVIOUR

H.-G. Seeba

31. CUT FLOWER MARKET IN SPAIN: STRUCTURE AND LIMITING FACTORS OF DEVELOPMENT

J.L. Benedicto

32. RETAIL SALES OF CUT FLOWERS

J. GROS | T. SANTERO

33. PROBLEMS OF PROJECTING THE FLOWER DEMAND IN GERMANY (F.R.)

M. Altmann | R.v. Alvensleben

34. RELATION BETWEEN QUALITY AND PRICE OF SPRAY CARNATIONS

I. B.M.M. Kortekaas

35. IMPROVEMENT IN THE COMMERCIAL QUALITY OF THE SPANISH ALMOND

J. MURGA CARAZO

36. IMPROVEMENT IN THE COMMERCIAL QUALITY OF THE “LIMONERA” PEAR

J. MURGA CARAZO

37. CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR FRESH VEGETABLES IN GERMANY (F.R.)

St. Deters

38. INNOVATIVE CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR ON THE FOOD MARKETS

R. Buchholz

39. CONSUMER ATTITUDES TOWARDS ORGANIC FOOD IN GERMANY (F.R.)

J. Werner | R.v. Alvensleben

40. CONCEPT FOR THE INVESTIGATION OF THE DOMESTIC MARKET FOR FRUIT AND VEGETABLES IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY

D.M. Hörmann

41. DEVELOPMENT IN MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS IN THE GLASSHOUSE HORTICULTURE IN THE NETHERLANDS.

J.C.J. Ammerlaan

42. SIMULATION OF RANDOM VARIABLES AS A PLANNING INSTRUMENT OF FRUIT AND VEGETABLE FARMS

J. Requena

43. ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF UNCERTAIN CLIMATE CONDITIONS FOR CROP PLANNING IN GREENHOUSE PRODUCTION

A. Werthwein

44. CHANGINGS OF OPTIMAL INPUTS FOR HORTICULTURAL PRODUKTION METHODS (PROBLEMS WITH MARGINAL COSTS AND BENEFITS)

W. Rothenburger

45. ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION COSTS IN THE HORTOFRUTICULTURE INDUSTRY IN THE LEVANTE REGION OF SPAIN

P. Caballero | J.L. Benedicto | M.D. de Miguel

46. ECONOMICAL ASPECTS OF YIELD ESTIMATIONS IN CITRICULTURE

M.D. de Miguel | V. Caballer

47. FORECASTING EVOLUTION AT MEDIUM TERM OF ORANGE AND TANGERINE PRODUCTION IN THE COMUNIDAD VALENCIANA

P. Serra | I. Fernández de Lucio | J.L. Vayá | R. Irene

48. VEGETABLE CROPS FOR CANNING AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON FARM INCOME

F.J. Cavero

49. PROFITABILITY OF ALMOND ORCHARDS IN SPAIN

A.J. Felipe

50. THE TEMPORAL PRODUCTION AND THE TEMPORAL COSTS OF OPPORTUNITY IN HORTICULTURAL CULTURES.

J.F. Juliá Igual | V. Caballer Mellado | B. Segura García del Rio

51. INFLUENCE OF WATER COST AND IRRIGATION METHODS ON THE ECONOMY OF HORTICULTURAL FARMS

J. Hernández Esteruelas

52. ANALYSES OF BIOLOGICAL, TECHNICAL AND ECONOMICAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCTION METHODS IN FLORICULTURAL ENTERPRISES

I. Grosse Scharmann

53. CAPITAL FORMATION AND CONTINUITY FOR A HORTICULTURAL GLASSHOLDING

I.I.P.P. van Leyen | Drs. N. de Groot

54. PRODUCTION AND INVESTMENT BEHAVIOUR OF FIRMS GROWING VEGETABLES IN GLASSHOUSES

M. van der Plas

55. THE INFLUENCE OF PHOTOSENSITIVITY OF CROPS ON THE CHOICE OF ENERGY-SAVING INVESTMENTS IN GLASSHOUSES

C.J.M. Vernooy

56. DYNAMIC METHODS OF LIQUIDITY CONTROL AND PLANNING

W. Rothenburger

57. STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN GERMAN HORTICULTURE DURING THE LAST DECADE

H. Storck

58. SOME CHANGES IN THE LOCATION OF VEGETABLE PRODUCTION IN SWEDEN

G. Larsson

59. FRUIT AND VEGETABLE PROJECTS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: THE CONTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD BANK

M.D. Bale

60. HORTICULTURE AND DEVELOPMENT IN LOS LLANOS DE ALMERIA

F. Escalona

61. PRODUCTIVE SPECIALIZATION, INSTITUTIONS AND TRADE ARRANGEMENT.

M. Zapata | J. Vera | J. Egea

62. ECOMIC AND SOCIAL ASPECTS OF HORTICULTURAL RESEARCH

A. Casimiro Herruzo

63. EVOLUTION OF THE PRICES OF LAND IN EUROPE AND NORTH-AMERICA. REPERCUSSION ON THE HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTION.

B. Segura García del Río | V. Caballer Mellado | J.F. Juliá Igual

64. THE TAX ON VALUE ADDED IMPLANTATION EFFECTS IN THE SPANISH HORTICULTURAL SECTOR

L. Avellá | R. Aguirre | R. Diago | F. Carmen

65. THE ASSESSMENT OF MARKETING OF HORTICULTURAL PRODUCE IN KENYA

O.L.E. Mbatia

66. GOAL ORIENTED PROJECT PLANNING – THE CASE OF THE HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTION CENTRE, TAITA HILLS

W. Elfring

67. MANAGEMENT BY OBJECTIVES IN 1984

J.A.H. Nicholson

68. TOWARDS MORE PRECISION IN BUDGETING

G.L. Gladwell

69. ANALYSIS, STRUCTURING AND QUANTIFICATION OF PRODUCTION METHODS IN HORTICULTURE

G. Stoffert | W. Besener

70. PLANNING AND CONTROL OF WORK METHODS BY USING STRUCTURAL DATA OF A HORTICULTURAL ENTERPRISE WITH THE ASSISTANCE OF A MICRO-COMPUTER

W. Besener

71. HOW TO RATIONALIZE HARVEST AND TRANSPORT IN SMALL STRUCTURED VEGETABLE FARMS

D. Aust

72. HANDLING AND TRANSPORTATION OF POTPLANTS IN GLASSHOUSES

G. Stoffert | H.-R. Rohlfing

73. TRANSPORT AT NURSERIES

G.J. van Boetzelser

74. NEW PLANTING SYSTEM AND AN ADOPTED MECHANIZATION FOR APPLE ORCHARDS

Ing. P. van Lookeren Campagne

75. EMPLOYMENT IN PRIVATE FARMS WITH OUTDOOR VEGETABLE PRODUCTION

Z. Baranska

76. THE LABOUR INPUT IN INDIVIDUAL FARMS WITH OUTDOOR VEGETABLE PRODUCTION

Z. Gertych | Z. Baranska

77. PROTECTION OF SWEET CHERRY HEDGEROWS WITH POLYETHYLENE FILMS

T. Meli | W. Riesen | A. Widmer

78. DEMONSTRATION WITH TIME-MEASUREMENT EQUIPMENT

H.R. Rohlfing

79. ORGANIZATION OF A SMALL IRRIGATED LAND EXPLOITATION IN THE VEGAS ALTAS AREA OF THE GUADIANA RIVER, VILLANUEVA DE LA SERENA (BADAJOZ).

M. Cancho

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