Articles
THE ECONOMICS OF PRODUCTION AND MARKETING IN THE US POTATO INDUSTRY: GROWERS’ SUPPLY RESPONSE
Article number
223_45
Pages
282 – 286
Language
Abstract
U.S. potato prices are very volatile due to an inelastic demand and varying elasticities of supply in different production areas.
If growers have a better understanding of supply response in the different areas, given national demand, they may be able to reduce their price risk.
A 78 equation econometric model of the U.S. potato industry was developed.
The model specified acreage-planted equations for 17 production areas.
Explanatory variables in the supply equations included: lagged acreage, lagged price, lagged price range, lagged alternate crop prices, and a dummy variable for shifting price expectations at higher price levels.
For the spring and summer crops, fall-crop production the previous year was another explanatory variable.
Overall, acreage response was more elastic in production areas where there are many alternate crops.
If growers have a better understanding of supply response in the different areas, given national demand, they may be able to reduce their price risk.
A 78 equation econometric model of the U.S. potato industry was developed.
The model specified acreage-planted equations for 17 production areas.
Explanatory variables in the supply equations included: lagged acreage, lagged price, lagged price range, lagged alternate crop prices, and a dummy variable for shifting price expectations at higher price levels.
For the spring and summer crops, fall-crop production the previous year was another explanatory variable.
Overall, acreage response was more elastic in production areas where there are many alternate crops.
Authors
J.F. GUENTHNER, R.J. FOLWELL
Keywords
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