THE EFFECT OF THE SOUTHWARD ENLARGEMENT OF THE EC ON THE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION OF SPAIN

By the end of 1995 the Spanish agricultural policy has to be totally adjusted to the EC Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). This alignment will cause changes in the agricultural supply of Spain.
In particular the price relations between the products will alter.
Status-quo-projections to 1995 showed sizeable increases of Spanish production for cereals, industrial crops, fruits and vegetables, whereas the output of leguminosae and potatoes will decrease.
Within these groups increases are especially observed in favour of barley, sunflower and off-season fruit and vegetables.
The entry of Spain into the EC will have negative effects on the aggregated output of cereals, leguminosae, potatoes and some industrial products.
A positive effect of the EC membership could be calculated for oilseeds, fruit and vegetables.
For example on a yearly average the egg plant production will be extended between 5.1 % and 10.1 %, the cucumber production between 4.3 % and 8.6 % due to the EC entry, whereas the total vegetable output is expected to increase between 0.1 % and 0.3 %. Furthermore the model shows in the case of egg plants and cucumber that the EC-effect will mainly improve production in the protected cultivation system (the principal area for off-season production). In general the entry effect will be far less pronounced than the observed trend which shows an increase for the vegetable output between 1982/1983 and 1995 of 48.6%.

X International Symposium on Horticultural Economics

H.-H. JAHN

https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.1988.223.46